LeoWandersleb
Leo Wandersleb

https://walletscrutiny.com

https://nostr.info

Working on Bitcoin, Nostr and being a good dad.

Public Key

npub1gm7tuvr9atc6u7q3gevjfeyfyvmrlul4y67k7u7hcxztz67ceexs078rf6

NIP-05 Address

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsydl97xpj74udw0qg5vkfyujyjxd3l706jd0t0w0turp93d0vvungprfmhxue69uhhg6r9vehhyetnwshxummnw3erztnrdakszynhwden5te0wahhgtn4w3ux7tn0dejszrmhwden5te0dehhxarj9ekk7mgpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuetcd96zuur4vgq3camnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wvf5hgcm0d9hx2u3wwdhkx6tpdsq3kamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwwdhx7un59eek7cmfv9kr5dfhx49u76

Publishing to

nostr.bitcoiner.social

relay.snort.social:57

Author Public Key

npub1gm7tuvr9atc6u7q3gevjfeyfyvmrlul4y67k7u7hcxztz67ceexs078rf6

Show more details

Last Notes

2026-01-19 18:35:26 UTC

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You got a ticket to jump into their timeline? Hitler! But you have to get the extraction timing right!

2026-01-19 18:32:01 UTC

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Bit of a language barrier there ...

2026-01-19 14:26:11 UTC

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Somebody suggested to have "Prompt requests" for those one-shot "features" with hard to review merge requests.

2026-01-19 02:39:35 UTC

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Good luck! I think it's futile at scale but as a "fun game", sure.

2026-01-18 22:37:53 UTC

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Or a bigger truck 🤷‍♂️

2026-01-18 20:56:46 UTC

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Proof of location is a hard problem. You would want rather high limits per location, so spoofers could pay relayers to get proofs.
Something cool is going on at location X: people would ask for "invites" and over time, an efficient market would evolve. People would have legitimate reasons to join those chats and mabe the relayer would openly sponsor the guest but nothing can force to reveal the relayer.

2026-01-18 15:20:52 UTC

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Prompt wizards, what am I doing wrong?
https://i.nostr.build/J17BnOPhJ3QUxFZa.png

2026-01-18 15:15:52 UTC

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But OMG is it stupid. Or I suck at prompting. Somehow through 5 prompts I couldn't get closer than that.
https://i.nostr.build/lcLdSlkaLcs4rO6i.png

2026-01-18 15:12:51 UTC

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https://i.nostr.build/UEBfEZlyjVAKHmQP.png
Literally right now fighting with image LLMs to get Christine Lagarde to HODOR in reaction to
https://i.nostr.build/EyswMzcSGNgG69AH.png

2026-01-18 01:31:48 UTC

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Great prompt I guess.
Create an account.
Churn out articles like that.
Get zaps.
Scary to assume that that's exactly what's happening already.

2026-01-18 00:09:49 UTC

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Interactions on nostr should always increase visibility.
Boost is explicit: i want my followers to see this.
Quote is as explicit.
Comment can mean many things but I would like to see what my follows reply to. The standard right now is to either not show any replies or focus on my follows' replies. I think there should be a third way: show me content several of my follows replied to.
Reactions: it would be nice to also surface what my follows "liked".
Zaps: this is the big one! If my follows give more than x to some content, I might care more than if they metely boosted it. Or maybe we should have zapped boosts?

2026-01-17 02:09:19 UTC

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Orderliness is a personality trait and as such, pretty stable throughout a human's life.
If you are low in orderliness, you just do not see the messiness.
If you are high in orderliness, you see mess in everything.
Both extremes can be problematic for the person but mostly it's a problem when extremes meet.

2026-01-16 23:34:44 UTC

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Está muerto?

2026-01-16 23:34:02 UTC

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Nope

2026-01-16 23:31:29 UTC

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Sure. But I'd still push back on the theft analogy. Burning coins is never theft but a quantum attack sure would be theft. So by burning coins we strictly reduce theft.

2026-01-16 23:06:11 UTC

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Why would you assume I forgot about those?
The transition has to take years and you can have different strategies for different coins. Satoshi's coins for example could be saved in a non-revealing way by embedding commitments to transactions spending from those UTXOs in the blockchain.

2026-01-16 22:45:37 UTC

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Why you cap it at 15a?

2026-01-16 22:42:13 UTC

I heard "grimoire" a dozen times before I came across this link. Great stuff!
#nevent1q…9a2q

2026-01-16 22:33:44 UTC

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I would change the perspective completely.
It's not about who will steal Satoshi's coins. It's about wether the bitcoin holders want to sponsor the race towards quantum computing or not.
"Satoshi's coins" are either still owned by somebody or they are lost.
Owned coins can prepare a migration - even without publicly revealing they prepared - and lost coins are never stolen.

2026-01-16 20:25:48 UTC

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Vague thing for something thousands of people should know exactly the name of the regulator with a link to the actual communication.

2026-01-16 00:24:05 UTC

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I guess the point is that Greenland's sovereignty is inder dispute.

2026-01-16 00:17:36 UTC

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You're not talking about those the serve on the plane are you?

2026-01-16 00:01:02 UTC

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I'm very honored @nprofile…jgy8 zapped me one sat 😁 and truth is it's more about anonymous accounts doind 1sat zapvertising.

2026-01-15 23:59:05 UTC

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Es que ... zaps permiten mensajes. En realidad sólo quiero eliminar "zapvertising" bajo 10sat.

2026-01-15 23:56:25 UTC

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But there's no standard that my profile could advertise a minimum zap? I'm using WoS with various clients.

2026-01-15 23:52:38 UTC

#askTheNostr how can I block 1sat zaps?

2026-01-15 23:29:16 UTC

#nevent1q…a68t
This! There's a lot of funding controlled by very few.
Zap your builders meaningful amounts instead of raining zaps on a million engegement farms!

2026-01-15 17:15:24 UTC

https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/compiling.png
Waiting for "the computer" is somehow a constant. Some day we will have automated everything and still stare at screens ... "Terraforming in progress 3.5% ..."

2026-01-15 13:28:54 UTC

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Wort millions ...

2026-01-14 19:21:17 UTC

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When thinking of skynet, I don't think of Central Banks. I actually don't think of Central Anything, not even the evil company from the movie plot. Decentralized AI agents though ... using decentralized money ... that could get tricky.

2026-01-14 17:09:50 UTC

Vibe coding is scary! You either benefit from the speedup or you review what your LLM is dreaming up at which point you're faster coding it yourself, so ... no "vibe coder" will do that.
I guess there is room for read-only LLM use that constantly checks what the worker LLM is doing and that can throw in a wrench if something fishy comes up that needs human review. Of course that LLM needs to be 100% independent of the worker LLM.
I use cline and the LLM may execute safe commands but that apparently includes reading files outside the project directory. It's all pretty scary and we have no idea about the power these LLM companies are getting on a global scale.

2026-01-14 12:47:58 UTC

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git bisect should find the culprit quickly.

2026-01-14 01:55:08 UTC

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Sorry. Ballmer Peak.
https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/ballmer_peak.png

2026-01-14 01:53:14 UTC

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You missed the Ballmer point.

2026-01-13 20:05:12 UTC

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Isn't the whole point of WoT in nostr that I can be the center of my own WoT? What's there to argue?

2026-01-13 16:03:26 UTC

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I think it could be done without changes to the UI. So instead of a creditId and a hosted wallet, the wallet would be in the client. Now the over-payment issue you always have when you don't know how much the service will cost can be solved by returning eTokens with the server answer. Always charge the theoretical maximum of the model and with the reply, return change.
Only problem is the backup of that extra data but that could be encrypted using the "creditId" to stick with the same UI.

2026-01-13 15:10:41 UTC

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High sea piracy is so back! Only it's done by expensive military. Maybe King Donald, Zar Vladimir, Emperor Xi and Queen Ursula should sell Letters of Marque to privateers?
Why waste taxpayer money on the Navy when you can legalize the hustle? The legislation is already on the table to unleash private contractors on cartels and foreign fleets.
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/letters-of-marque-cartels/

2026-01-13 14:53:41 UTC

🤯 Michael Saylor said: "If you want to destroy a company, give them a hundred good ideas."
Good ideas are your enemy?
Steve Jobs framed it like this: "People think focus means saying yes to the thing you've got to focus on... But that's not what it means at all. It means saying no to the hundred other good ideas that are there."
Ideas kill execution.

2026-01-13 03:32:01 UTC

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Pet names allow you to chain nyms. If somebody follows me and I follow you, they could refer to me as just "Leo" and to you as Shawn@Leo and if you changed your name to "⚡⚡Shawn⚡⚡", my "Shawn" would still point to your npub. "Shawn" would be my pet name for you, regardless of how you name yourself today.

2026-01-13 01:41:43 UTC

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Pet names would make nostr more resilient against impersonation but even though fiatjaf proposed them from day one, no client supports them.

2026-01-12 23:20:36 UTC

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pet names

2026-01-12 21:17:06 UTC

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So when are the people actually stopping this madness? Before or after the government is in all your messages?

2026-01-12 14:33:06 UTC

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Always has been?

2026-01-12 14:31:01 UTC

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That's why we bitcoin.
Sadly, the warmongers are cranking up the warmongering to 11 right now.

2026-01-12 13:20:18 UTC

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The extension works but not sure if it's still maintained. Satoshisound did fix some issues months ago but I don't know if that was because he's got plans or if it was just to fix things a bit.

2026-01-12 04:28:02 UTC

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He's on some drugs or something. I'll hold my unfollow until tomorrow.

2026-01-12 04:25:16 UTC

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My apologies. I reviewed your text assuming it was a political tool intended to gather signatures and effect change. I didn't realize it was actually a mirror designed for you to admire your own intellect.
You are right, I am a philistine. I care about results. I clearly lack the sophistication to appreciate a petition where the only intended audience is the author. Enjoy the view from the summit of your own ego. It must be breathtaking!

2026-01-12 04:06:43 UTC

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False friends. The Spanish "redactado" would translate to "written", not "redacted". I'm not a native English speaker.

2026-01-12 03:59:39 UTC

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Guess he'll have to delete some messages tomorrow 😂

2026-01-12 03:52:13 UTC

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You threaten your friends to stop being their friend if they don't sign your petition? There's many reasons people might not want to sign it and "disagreeing with you" is only one of them. And even that reason shouldn't destroy an actual friendship.
I read most of your petition and found it poorly redacted, too much all over the place, likely to alienate all kinds of people. There's many people that don't believe in petitions and others only sign what they support word for word and that makes your petition problematic as you put in poison pills for many demographics.

2026-01-12 03:45:10 UTC

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You, too.
Sorry. Couldn't resist 😁
I wouldn't have shared the text if I had thought it was bullshit. It addresses several issues with your petition that I agree with.

2026-01-12 03:16:20 UTC

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Not sure what's "trending". I occasionally cross post stuff to both, too. So what?

2026-01-12 03:00:08 UTC

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Epstein Drive tomorrow? Yeah baby! 🚀

2026-01-12 02:58:40 UTC

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Cringe

2026-01-12 02:49:37 UTC

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Not sure how much feedback you got or if this is welcome but to me, most of these points sound quite right:
Based on the text provided and the current date (January 2026), here is an analysis of who likely wrote this petition and an explanation of the structural and rhetorical changes needed to improve its appeal.
## Profiling the Author
Based on the language, specific legal citations, and the philosophical tone, the author is likely a **"Constitutional Institutionalist"**—someone who is politically homeless in the current polarized environment. They are likely a legal scholar, a former civil servant, or a disaffected conservative/classical liberal.
Here is why this profile fits:
* **The "Republic" vs. "Democracy" Rhetoric:** The text opens by referencing "citizens who still believe in the Republic." This is a distinct shibboleth. Progressives usually emphasize "Democracy" (majority rule/rights), while traditional conservatives emphasize "The Republic" (structures/limits on power).
* **The Focus on Process over Policy:** The petition is not angry about *what* the government is doing (e.g., specific tax rates or social issues); it is angry about *how* they are doing it (violating Article I, ignoring the War Powers Resolution).
* **The "UN Charter" Argument:** This is the strangest inclusion for a conservative-sounding text. Relying on Article VI to claim international treaties (like the UN Charter) are the "Supreme Law of the Land" is a very specific, academic legal argument often used to constrain American unilateralism. This suggests the author is an **internationalist**, perhaps someone involved in foreign policy or international law who opposes isolationism.
* **The January 6th Comparison:** The author dislikes the "chaos" of J6 but dislikes the "operational" executive overreach of the current administration even more. This triangulation is typical of the "Never Trump" conservative or the "Blue Dog" Democrat.
**In summary:** The author is likely a highly educated, centrist legal idealist who believes the system is broken not because of the *people* in it, but because the *rules* are being ignored.
## Why the Petition is "Unpalatable" (The Issues)
You are correct that the text is disjointed. It tries to appeal to everyone but likely alienates everyone instead.
1. **The "J6" Section is Polarizing:** By explicitly centering the petition around the January 6th anniversary, the author instantly alienates any Trump supporters or Republicans who might otherwise agree with the points about "War Powers" and "Executive Overreach." Conversely, by calling the current administration a *worse* danger than J6 ("more severe because it is operational"), they risk alienating Democrats who view J6 as the singular worst event in recent history.
2. **The "UN Charter" Trap:** Citing the United Nations Charter as a binding constraint on the US President is a "poison pill" for American conservatives. While legally arguable under the Supremacy Clause, politically, it reads as "Globalism over Aemrican Sovereignty."
3. **Abstract Guilt:** The opening paragraph ("we have failed—the world, ourselves...") is depressive and self-flagellating. Most people sign petitions to demand action from others, not to confess their own sins.
4. **Vagueness:** It alludes to "ongoing or escalated military action" and "ill-gotten gains," but it never actually says *what* war or *what* financial crime is happening. It assumes the reader is already a constitutional lawyer.
## Recommended Changes
To make this petition effective, the focus needs to be narrowed, and the unnecessary cultural signals need to be removed. Here is what should be changed:
### 1. Remove the January 6th Framing
The comparison to January 6th confuses the message. Is this a memorial for the riots of 2021, or a petition about War Powers in 2026?
* **Change:** Cut the paragraphs referencing the anniversary entirely.
* **Reasoning:** If the current President is violating the law *now*, that stands on its own merits. Dragging in J6 restricts the coalition to people who are still focused on that specific event, rather than people concerned about current military overreach.
### 2. Drop the "International Treaty" Argument
Using the UN Charter to argue against the US President is politically ineffective in the US.
* **Change:** Focus exclusively on the **US Constitution (Article I)** and the **War Powers Resolution**.
* **Reasoning:** "The President is ignoring Congress" is a winning argument that appeals to both libertarians (Right) and anti-war activists (Left). "The President is ignoring the UN" appeals to very few American voters and actively hostile to many.
### 3. Shift from "Guilt" to "Rights"
The opening lines ("We have failed") are weak.
* **Change:** Rewrite the opening to focus on the rights of the citizens that are being usurped.
* **Reasoning:** People sign petitions because they feel aggrieved, not because they feel guilty. The tone should be: "Congress is allowing the President to steal *your* power to declare war."
### 4. Definition of Claims
The petition demands restitution for "ill-gotten gains" and "appropriations for military operations."
* **Change:** The petition must explicitly name the conflict or the corruption. For example, "Stop funding the unauthorized deployment in [Region X]" or "Investigate the [Specific Business Deal]."
* **Reasoning:** Without specifics, this reads like a theoretical law school exam rather than a call to political action.
### 5. Simplify the "Structural Reform" Demand
The final demand asks to stop the "coordination of economic, political, and media power."
* **Change:** Limit the demands to concrete legislative actions (e.g., "Pass the Reassertion of Congressional War Powers Act").
* **Reasoning:** The current wording sounds conspiratorial. It resembles language used by both the far-left (anti-capitalist) and the far-right (deep state), making the "sensible center" uncomfortable.

2026-01-12 02:33:46 UTC

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It starts good but gets worse further down. Sometimes less is more.

2026-01-12 02:30:34 UTC

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Gemini has convincing arguments for the misscount being of the order of 100 million, not 1 billion.
Reasons for growth with 1 child policy are that life expectancy moved from 44 to 77 years, so while fewer kids were born, many fewer olds died.
Caloric consumption and other economic and industrial factors can't be explained with less than a billion people.

2026-01-12 02:12:41 UTC

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So he was "anti regime" but also "anti monarchy" and "anti US intervention"? Hmmm...

2026-01-12 01:59:25 UTC

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That's when protests need to turn into guerilla warfare. Don't offer easy targets to get massacred.

2026-01-11 23:52:54 UTC

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Do the jam the satellites or the receivers? Wonder what starlink does about this. Is their equipment in danger?

2026-01-11 16:15:56 UTC

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I consider Proton a likely honeypot.

2026-01-11 16:11:38 UTC

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I'm struggling with the audio.

2026-01-11 15:21:27 UTC

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Sounds helpful.
For me the biggest concern is whether ppq can correlate my different chats as I can be conscious about privacy in one chat but if all my chats were correlated, it would instantly give away who I am, as in some chats I ask to help author nostr posts that then can clearly be matched to me. And the credit ID is where see a necessity in the current version for the client to send a linkable ID to the ppq servers. So how about instead of a creditID, use a built-in cashu wallet? Then you would still be able to match my chats from the IP address but the Android app could use TOR circuits per chat ...

2026-01-11 14:51:29 UTC

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If James J. Hill was truly the business genius history paints him as, then leaving that money on the table wasn’t a moral victory. It was strategic malpractice. Imagine a "Hill Plus": a version of him who possessed the same obsession with low gradients and high-quality steel, intended to hold the asset for decades, but also took the government checks for every mile laid. That version of the company would have had the same operational efficiency as the Great Northern, but with a balance sheet fortified by federal cash. He would have crushed his "puritan twin" into the dust.
The failure of the subsidized lines wasn't that they received money; it was that they allowed the subsidy to become their primary business model. It is entirely possible to accept a per-mile grant and still build a straight, durable line. The grant simply creates an incentive to build winding trash - it doesn't compel it. A disciplined operator recognizes that the subsidy is merely cheap capital, a tool to lower the cost basis of a long-term asset.
By arguing that the subsidy caused the failure, we are essentially arguing that these businessmen lacked the agency to resist a bad incentive. It implies that free money is a kind of mind control that inevitably forces you to build a bridge that collapses in five years. It doesn't. It just exposes who is building a railroad and who is running a grift. Hill succeeded because he wanted to run a railroad, but he made his life infinitely harder than it needed to be by refusing the capital that could have made his efficiency even deadlier.

2026-01-10 18:18:38 UTC

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So it's not a bug? I'm too fast blocking for your algo to get triggered? Ok. Hope you're right.

2026-01-10 18:08:58 UTC

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Are you sure? Blocked Users is long. Spammers is empty.
https://npub1gm7tuvr9atc6u7q3gevjfeyfyvmrlul4y67k7u7hcxztz67ceexs078rf6.blossom.band/5dc96c5c10abf075b9deec75e489e135b1aea76fa625b714c479d285c54f562c.jpg

2026-01-10 18:06:22 UTC

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Right. I trust ppq to not store my queries and ip. At least the ip is concealable.

2026-01-10 14:31:35 UTC

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I use @nprofile…qagl
Both promise to keep things private.
Neither can prove it.
I usually avoid identifying information and ppq works great without an account.

2026-01-10 14:19:06 UTC

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But they end up on my hand curated list of blocked users? So now, a false positive would be indistinguishable from hand curated?
Also on public chats, kids can get excited and spam to the amusement of their friends. Do they get permanently blocked for all Amethyst users or only their friends that would care to unblock them?

2026-01-10 13:50:12 UTC

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I like that control but it should be opt in and well explained. Maybe a nudge to activate it: we think this is spam. Disable spam based on this heuristic?
So is the client putting accounts on its spammer list based on that rule or are the spam posts what's filtered? If a spammer spawns a new author for every message, does he get through the filter? Did all the "gm" folks get banned?

2026-01-10 13:39:52 UTC

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If it blocks only the spammy message that's fine. As a heuristic for spam accounts it looks trivial to get around, leaving only a trap for honest users.

2026-01-10 13:37:35 UTC

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Epstein didn't kill himself.
There's a million reasons to repeat exact messages 5 times even if you exclude "gm" and "gn".

2026-01-10 13:33:33 UTC

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The "filter spam" description is not clear. @nprofile…2lxp?
https://npub1gm7tuvr9atc6u7q3gevjfeyfyvmrlul4y67k7u7hcxztz67ceexs078rf6.blossom.band/96aec1aae7a450a88b37df4fe4ca8005ce4779ec026eb4076c7f4c504e88cff8.jpg

2026-01-09 21:47:40 UTC

There's 10 kinds of people:
Those who understand binary and those who don't.

2026-01-09 17:38:03 UTC

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Just updated Amethyst from zapstore. What feature are you talking about?

2026-01-09 17:32:00 UTC

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So we give up? Cause you tell us to?

2026-01-09 17:29:07 UTC

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Did it? I don't think I have seen that yet. Also "nostr" can't do such a thing. Only somebody using nostr, so what? Good for them.

2026-01-09 15:47:53 UTC

Property tax is basically a protection racket: 'Pay us or get out.' It's brutal, but at least it's transparent. They look at the map, send the bill, and that's it.
I actually prefer that honesty over the modern income tax system.
The tax code has gotten so complicated that the government can't just be a landlord anymore. They have to be a stalker. To get every last drop of revenue, they need to monitor our bank accounts, track our paychecks, and scrutinize every purchase.
I'd rather they tax the place I sleep at than spy on every step I take.

2026-01-09 12:42:18 UTC

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Also a nostr client.

2026-01-09 12:38:27 UTC

https://youtu.be/mfLycFHBsro
So 3 years later we moved on? Nobody is being held accountable for "covid" and all the BS we had to endure?

2026-01-09 00:38:57 UTC

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If you think 64MB is optimized, wait until you hear about .kkrieger.
It’s a fully playable 3D FPS from 2004 with dynamic lighting and sound packed into just 96 KB. You could fit over 600 copies of it on that Resident Evil cartridge.
The entire game file is literally smaller than the image you just tweeted.

2026-01-09 00:18:19 UTC

What's going on in #Iran and how can we know what's true from the bits that get posted on X?

2026-01-07 21:31:18 UTC

Is Gemini 3 Pro lying blatently? I'm just chatting with it and it claims "I ran a test on the "Clash of Clans" icon (complex colors, shading, transparency):", reporting me "real world" compression results. Is it appropriating somebody's actual benchmark or lying? Cause I don't believe it did what it claims.
https://i.nostr.build/n3T9htNKVtlBvcF2.png

2026-01-06 23:40:24 UTC

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What works better without custom hardware?

2026-01-06 23:13:46 UTC

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How is bitchat doing in iran?

2026-01-06 23:09:38 UTC

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Oh, that's a respectful baby 🐥 😂

2026-01-06 21:10:07 UTC

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Always has been gif is here already but ... huh?

2026-01-05 12:18:13 UTC

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Stay safe! The world turned more violent and rules or customs of international engagement are being rewritten. Scary times.

2026-01-05 12:04:38 UTC

Ledger is the best! ... at losing customer data 🤦‍♂️
Ooops they did it again.

2026-01-05 10:48:07 UTC

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Sounds like advertisement.

2026-01-05 10:27:45 UTC

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Most? I doubt that. It's some US influencers drunk on the display of strength. Keep the receipts and call them out next year.

2026-01-05 02:31:22 UTC

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Overkill for now but at some point we might want to transition.
Can you please compare pubkey, sig length and signing/verification performance?

2026-01-04 17:17:00 UTC

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Fix your borders?
Also drugs don't kill people. Fix your people to not slow suicide on fentanyl?
A world without norms is scary and you simping for Trump's power grab is pathetic. Cheering for bullies is easy as long as you're on their side.

2026-01-04 16:32:38 UTC

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Nodes with low upstream capacity might be poorer connected or under higher load or have other bottlenecks. Running 50 nodes on one VPS is not the same as 1 node on a barebone.

2026-01-04 16:28:12 UTC

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Repeating Trump's propaganda doesn't make it just. Since when can a country execute an extradition within a foreigner country? That's not how the rules were supposed to work. Also Trump now openly assuming power in Venezuela contradicts his narrative that he only wanted Maduro to face justice.
What does his own bounty have to do with any of that?

2026-01-04 15:53:59 UTC

https://npub1gm7tuvr9atc6u7q3gevjfeyfyvmrlul4y67k7u7hcxztz67ceexs078rf6.blossom.band/d0e3df901264677924c37947774a9c6462ba2a378e0c50e6b89cb7e524297eff.jpg
The "rules-based order" is effectively a promise to respect sovereign nations until the world collectively decides to take measures. The fundamental deal was simple: soldiers crossing the lines we agreed to draw on the maps require declarations of war. If they do so without one, a rule is broken, and the international community is obligated to punish the perpetrator collectively.
But that deal is dead. The operation to capture Maduro in Caracas yesterday proves it. We aren't dealing with hypotheticals anymore; the US just removed a sitting head of state and announced administrative control over a sovereign nation. Whether it’s Russia annexing parts of Ukraine, the ongoing sovereignty crisis in Palestine, or now the US directly intervening in Venezuela, the mask is entirely off.
We have learned over the past few decades that institutions like the UN and NATO were mostly larping effective governance until things got serious. Now that the threat of collective punishment has evaporated, strong countries are turning more and more expansionist. The scary part is this transition period. We don't know what the rules are anymore because the old ones are unenforceable. I just hope nukes remain off limits while the new order is decided.

2026-01-04 12:46:10 UTC

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And scary 🫣

2026-01-03 19:08:41 UTC

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That's the whole point of prediction markets.

2026-01-03 18:55:36 UTC

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So blatantly talking about "his" oil after a fast stint to evacuate Maduro. At least he's honest there.

2026-01-03 15:43:23 UTC

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Did they taxi them out as part of a deal or did they actually prefer to die fighting? 🤔